In south asia, india and pakistan have also engaged in a technological nuclear arms race since the 1970s. If south asia s policymakers want increased regional integration, they could learn from the examples of others. Blackness is the fulcrum continues to be, by far, the most read post on race files. The nuclear race in south asia mahbub ul haq research center. Security in the asia pacific o ver the last two decades, the rise of china and its quest for. This, quite simply, is not the first time that concerns about arms races in asia have emerged. Until the eastwest arms race of the cold war period, most arms races were naval. The result of this budding regional alliance are manifest today. Thus defined, south asia stands for diversity in every sense and yet. Balachandran published nuclear arms race in south asia. The arms race in asia concludes that if the emerging arms race is left unchecked, it is likely that asia will increasingly become a region of instability, marked by conflicts and interstate wars. In this chapter, we shall use south asia to mean the seven countries mentioned above. May 21, 2015 the philippines, vietnam, indonesia, malaysia, thailand and taiwan are beefing up their military in the face of increasingly bold incursions in the region by china.
Robert kaplan, an academic and author of asia s cauldron, a new book about the south china sea, calls it one of the most underreported stories in the elite media in decades. Jan 16, 2015 it is difficult to say whether there is an ongoing arms race in east asia. The situation in the persian gulf is also intensifying as iran continues to test and expand its military capabilities in waters which are crucial supply routes for oil and gas exports to asia. Section 2 reports on the current status of internal conflicts in the region, and attempts to identify broad patterns and themes that might provide insight. In increasing numbers, analysts and policymakers are expressing concern about a potential arms race in east asia, with the regional tensions intensifying, especially in connection to china. Mar 29, 2016 comments by donald trump draw fears of an arms race in asia american troops participating in joint military exercises with south korea this month in pocheon, near the border with north korea. China and southeast asia in the new century 2007, analyzes sinosoutheast asian relations and their implications for the united states. Alarming arms race among pakistan, india and china the. To determine trends, narms compared the prevalence of antibiotic resistance in 2014 with the average prevalence from two reference periods. Many of the conversations ive had about it begin with the assumption that asian americans are less likely or even unlikely to step up on issues of racial justice. North koreas bad behavior could signal the start of an asian. Another area of concern is the increasing vulnerability of the region to emerging nontraditional threats including piracy, armed robbery, maritime terrorism, arms trafficking, illegal migration and environmental degradation. Both india and pakistan have different operational missiles in their accounts. Read more about this analysis cdc pdf and its results cdc pdf.
The south china sea scs tensions, which captured media attention before and right after the permanent court of arbitration pca announced its award in the. These and other countries in east, southeast and even south asia have displayed great creativity in implementing hedging strategies, cautiously welcoming. China is an important player but is not considered to be a part of the region. The historical formation of modern south asia this set of lectures will trac e the historical events that re sulted in the borders of modern south asia that we see in maps today. Understanding the arms race in south asia the apparently rapid pace of nuclear developments in india and pakistan has led many analysts to warn of an impending arms race between the two countries.
The worlds first nuclear bomb exploded at alamogordo on 16 july 1945. Narms 2014 human isolates surveillance report narms cdc. Yet, for northeast asia at least, the military budget increases were more dramatic at that time than in the early 1990s. May 07, 2010 during those years, no major periodicals proclaimed an arms race in asia. However, while changes in southeast asia s regional arms dynamics remain below the threshold of an arms race, they do amount to more than a maintenance of the status quo. Political 70e 10n 20n 30 n 40 n 60 n 80e 90e 60e 70e 80e 90e 100e 40n 30n 20n 10n indian ocean arabian sea bay of bengal w e n s national boundary national capital legend 250 500 250 500 mi 0 km 0. The security competition between india and pakistan has been characterised by an actionreaction spiral. Nuclear arms race in south asia and its impact on regional. Territorial disputes drive arms race in east asia japan. International relations of south asia ir 372po 355 spring. The book will be of great interest to students of asian politics, strategic studies, defence studies, security studies and ir in general. In 2007, at the launching ceremony for a new aegisequipped destroyer, which brought south korea into an elite club of just five countries with such technology, president roh moohyun declared, at the present time, northeast asia is still in an arms race, and we cannot just sit back and watch. Jul 25, 2006 nervous supporters of the deal see the report, which says that pakistan is capable of using the reactor to produce enough plutonium to make 40 to 50 nuclear weapons a year, as the final attempt by the us nuclear nonproliferation lobby to raise paranoia over the prospect of a nuclear arms race in south asia. In particular they could do a lot worse than look at the recent crisis management and peacebuilding efforts of two extraregional statesmen.
Regional integration and economic development in south asia edited by sultan hafeez rahman sridhar. Nonviolence international southeast asia nonviolence international southeast asia nisea has been working on the issue of small arms since 1993. Democracy in bangladesh bangladesh was a part of pakistan from 1947 to 1971. Territorial disputes drive arms race in east asia japan forward. The growing abilities, set apart by noteworthy upgrades in freight, range, dependability and exactness, are not just undermining to push the regions towards a crippling.
The paper examines the nuclear arms race in south asia. Dec 20, 2017 the regional superpower, china, is moving forward to dominate the south china sea. Experts and practitioners from government, industry and academia discussed the drivers and enablers of naval modernisation. It was 50 years ago when foreign ministers of indonesia, malaysia, the philippines, singapore, and thailand endorsed the bangkok declaration on august 8, 1967, that created aseanthe association of southeast asian nations.
If the east asia summit can set meaningful agendas that all members can share and identify with, the united states certainly should make it a priority to attend, but, as a new participant, the united states also should measure its expectations. Japan, south korea, taiwan, vietnam and the philippines have much at stake in the face of a rising china beefing up its potential for coercion in this domain. An emerging arms race across the northeast and south east asia region. India and pakistan are indeed entangled in a longstanding security competition. As china expands its influence in the disputed south china sea, an arms race has developed among other nations with claims in the area. According to the perspective of indian and pakistan find, read and cite all the research you need on researchgate.
During the cold war the united states and the soviet union became engaged in a nuclear arms race. With both india and pakistan in an arms race, it is easy to amplify the. Some scholars have claimed that an arms race was present in southeast asia even before the end of the cold war due to an upward trend in defence spending, driven largely by the open competitiveness of the extraregional powers as well as the competitiveness of the intraregional members wah 1987. I would like to take you into confidence about this issue. Regional integration and economic development in south asia. Regional arms race or bilateral arms races in northeast. Based on sound economic analysis and reasoning, the book presents ideas and fi ndings in. During this very period, in addition to the american and soviet nuclear stockpiles, other countries developed nuclear weapons, though none engaged in warhead production on nearly the same scale as the two superpowers. The people of this region resented the domination of western pakistan and the imposition of the. The nuclear age opened during world war ii with a blinding light. The southeast asian arms race council on foreign relations. National antimicrobial resistance monitoring system narms. Understanding the arms race in south asia carnegie. If there is no arms race in east asia, then many of the conventionally accepted arguments about asian security and american grand strategy in the region need to be revised.
Pdf nuclear arms race in south asia muhammed yusen. The paper traces the nuclear arms competition between the two south asian rivals and. Total defence spending of asean states doubled over the past 15 years in absolute terms, with countries like indonesia and thailand witnessing military expenditure growth rates. August 2017 6 late, for instance in the south china sea with its many conflicts. Those who use complete nuclear disarmament within a short timeframe.
Nuclear weapons and arms control in south asia after the. The deeply ingrained, traditional hostility between india and pakistan accentuates the dangers inherent in a south asian nuclear proliferation. Naval war college, he was educated at the university of california, berkeley, the national war college, and the university of chicago. America sounds arms race alert over south china sea amid. The ongoing regional quantitative and qualitative arms race.
Pakistan, bangladesh, sri lanka and nepal, 110th congress, 1st session, august 1, 2007, pp. The conference addressed such key questions as whether a naval arms race or arms. This could become a mindless race, driven by mutual suspicion, rather than the actual needs of deterrence and stability. Most news coverage of security issues focused on north koreas nuclear program and the difficulties in the u. In the case of south asia, an expensive conventional arms race would argu ably follow. This would also have a direct impact on europe since a majority of its trade with asia which is crucial for the world economy uses shipping lanes in these waters.
The nuclear arms race was an arms race competition for supremacy in nuclear warfare between the united states, the soviet union, and their respective allies during the cold war. South asia center for policy studies saceps and south asia network of economic research institutions sanei. An arms race is afoot in southeast asia as the foremost military power in the world, the united states is currently the biggest market for naval weaponry. Its one of the most remarkable geopolitical experiments in recent memory. Pdf on feb 18, 2019, nawab sher and others published arms race in south asia. The great arms race in caspian sea central asia the leaders of the five caspian sea littoral states azerbaijan, iran, kazakhstan, russia and turkmenistan frequently talk about the need for peace and security in the caspian region. They both spent billions and billions of dollars trying to build up huge stockpiles of nuclear weapons. Nisea was a founding member of the thailand campaign to ban landmines and has researched and conducted advocacy on antipersonnel mine issues since 1995. International relations of south asia ir 372po 355. Chinas increasingly aggressive behaviour in the pacific is frequently cited as the trigger for this leap in arms purchases. The capability of one of the two south asian countries to build nuclear weap. It consisted of the partitioned areas of bengal and assam from british india. Sep, 2012 this could become a mindless race, driven by mutual suspicion, rather than the actual needs of deterrence and stability.
Near the end of the cold war the soviet union was spending around 27% of. The cold war was predicated on the fact that neither side wanted to engage in a nuclear war that could destroy much of the civilized world. The nuclear competition started in 1974 with india detonating the device, codename smiling buddha, at the pokhran region of the rajasthan state. Ideally, the best measure of whether the two are in fact in a classic, reciprocal nuclear arms competition would be the rate at which both sides are. The expanded east asia summit can be pivotal, but patience is needed. The littoral countries of the south china sea have committed large chunks of their military spending to upgrading their naval capacity, including in maritime aviation. Understanding the evolution and dynamics of arms races the. It reportedly has nuclear capabilities, chemical warfare knowhow and 2,400 multiple rocket launchers. Nuclear weapons and strategic security in south asia. Afghanistan and myanmar are often included in discussions of the region as a whole.
Executive director of the south asia center for policy studies and hanspeter brunner is senior economist regional cooperation in the regional cooperation and operations coordination division, south asia department at the asian development bank. China, taiwan, vietnam, malaysia, philippines, japan, thailand, indonesia, singapore, vietnam, laos south and north korea and brunei. An analysis find, read and cite all the research you need on. Indias mirv program and deterrence stability in south asia. Department of health and human services, cdc, 2016. The 1998 nuclear tests by india and pakistan dramatically worsened the secur ity situation for. Asia s new arms race as china grows wealthier and builds up its military, other nations in the region are taking noteand amassing weapons of their own. All have conflicting claims to the widely scattered spratly islands in the south china sea. Some take it as a given that china and the united states are engaged in an arms race, and that the u. Human isolates surveillance report for 2014 final report. Internal conflict and regional security in south asia. The immediate cause of south asia s effectively dropping out of the nuclear arms control process was the indian governments reversal of course on the ctbt negotiations, largely for domestic reasons, as described in chapter 2. In the past decade, military spending by the regions states has risen by 57 percent on average.
This will, inevitably, begin another phase of an arms. Mar 08, 2017 north korea is ranked as the worlds 25th strongest military, behind china, japan and south korea. Dec 15, 2015 america sounds arms race alert over south china sea amid fears of military conflict the top us commander in the pacific criticises might is right approach as china scorns international. China is spending on defence to capture territories of south china seas, vietnam, philipines, japan, russia, india, south korea and of course parts of pakistan. Previous reports and additional information about narms are posted on the cdc narms website. Japan, south korea, taiwan, vietnam and the philippines have much at stake in the face of a rising china beefing.
North koreas bad behavior could signal the start of an. Other countries that claim parts of the region are expanding their defense spending in in order to keep this. Looking at southeast asia specifically, concerns about a potential regional arms race first emerged in the 1980s, when the regional air forces started to acquire supersonic combat aircraft for the first time. Japan, south korea as well as the rising capabilities of india and china will have implications for southeast asia. Today there are various regional arms build ups, some of which are arms races. Pdf arms race and development debate in south asia. The claims and realities this paper sets out to challenge the conventional wisdom that structural factors consist of the china threat, and that the ongoing south china sea disputes are the prime factors in the current military buildups in southeast asia. Recently, south asia s future as a peaceful region became questionable when india decided to buy a s400 missile defence system from russia. The united states and south asia after afghanistan seeks to pave the way for a robust and forwardlooking u. While countries in many parts of the world are reducing their military spending, southeast asian countries are bucking the trend. The irrelevance of china to indias decision is made clear in chapter 3. National antimicrobial resistance monitoring system for enteric bacteria narms.
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